As 2022 draws to a close, the cost-of-living crisis and the fact that the UK is now staring down the barrel of a recession means that many businesses will be likely to have to make redundancies in the coming year.
Whilst we haven’t seen the number of redundancies one might have expected to see over the last few months, this may be due to the political uncertainty during the autumn having left employers stalling on making difficult decisions. Widely reported labour shortages or at least the perception of such, are likely to further complicate strategic decisions, with employers keen to find cost savings but simultaneously worrying that they may find it difficult to replace workers, when the economic climate eventually improves.
And of course, no one really wants to be considering laying off staff just before Christmas. Indeed, many retail and hospitality sectors will be hoping for a boost from a busy festive season to see them through what may be a difficult time ahead.
It is likely that many businesses will have no choice but to consider cutting costs in the New Year, in order to survive. For many sectors, efficiency drives will inevitably involve a review of the workforce and the potential of redundancies. With the political situation now stabilising and the UK expected to be in recession, along with the inevitable downturn which January brings for most businesses (skiwear outlets and gyms excepted), it is likely that the New Year will mean that some employers have to reluctantly let a number of staff members go.
My experience of the 2008 financial crisis was that shortly after dismissals started to bite, Tribunal claims soon followed. Indeed, there was something of an avalanche of employment litigation at that time. The Employment Tribunal waiting rooms became extremely busy. I would be surprised if we don’t end up in a similar position moving into 2023 / 2024. Busier Tribunals tend to mean that there are delays in cases being heard and this comes on top of the existing backlog of cases exacerbated by the Covid Pandemic.
Employees tend to be more likely to take matters to the Tribunal when they are less able to find replacement work. This is because walking into another job quickly, significantly reduces the level compensation and employees are less likely to bring claims if they can immediately replace their income elsewhere. If job vacancies reduce as looks likely, then we are likely to see a significant rise in Tribunal claims.
Employers should be aware that besides unfair dismissal and redundancy claims, employees may also bring other claims including those of discrimination and whistleblowing, as well as breach of contract, unlawful deductions, minimum wage and equal pay etc.
Employers need to be aware that:
Employers are advised to:
If you do end up having to defend an Employment Tribunal claim, then we are here to advise and assist. We will always look to provide pragmatic and commercial advice. We will fight your corner and present your case aiming to secure the best outcome possible for your company.